Campaign Thread

[Greg]

When rats abandon the ship does it mean it is sinking?

https://www.zerohedge.com/political/abc-news-breaks-mainstream-media-blackout-hunter-biden-story

[paul14]

Is not wearing a mask elitist then?

[james03]

With your history of prediction accuracy, James I think I will bet another 500 on Trump.

I've been pretty accurate, e.g. predicting that Greece, after electing their anti-globalist socialist party would never leave the EU and would never abandon the euro after analyzing their economy.  Mike Shedlock, who was more famous at the time, thought that the socialists would at least go to the drachma.  Since the majority of Greeks depend on government loot, that was not going to happen.  I also spotted #GamerGate early on as a major cultural shift and wrote about it.

But getting to the point at hand, I make no prediction.  I was responding to the possibility of the Dem governors shutting down their States to suppress Trump votes.  That would be too obvious.  Their plan is to use mail in ballots to goose the numbers.

My prediction is as follows:
1.  IF Trump can keep the elections mostly legit, he wins big.
2.  IF the Dems can pull-off mail-in ballots stuffing, which they are clearly planning, Biden wins.

Odds?  50/50,  since all depends on how well they police the elections, which can't be handicapped.  Look at recent "wins" in California for a model, where many Republicans won the election in 2018, and then most of them losing a few days later after ballots were "discovered" uncounted.

I'll make the prediction Trump  wins Florida and Ohio.  They have Republican governors.

[Miriam_M]

My prediction is as follows:
1.  IF Trump can keep the elections mostly legit, he wins big.
2.  IF the Dems can pull-off mail-in ballots stuffing, which they are clearly planning, Biden wins.

Odds?  50/50,  since all depends on how well they police the elections, which can't be handicapped.  Look at recent "wins" in California for a model, where many Republicans won the election in 2018, and then most of them losing a few days later after ballots were "discovered" uncounted.

I'll make the prediction Trump  wins Florida and Ohio.  They have Republican governors.

I agree with everything James says here, but especially the #1 and #2 up top.  If massive fraud by the Dems is miraculously prevented, Trump wins bigger than he won in 2016.

[paul14]

I predict Trump will win with a similar margin of victory to last time.
I think he may possibly win the popular vote as well.

[Miriam_M]

I predict Trump will win with a similar margin of victory to last time.
I think he may possibly win the popular vote as well.

Agree similarly with both of those claims, especially if (in agreement with James), Democratic ballot "operations" can be minimized. 

[paul14]

Michael Moores original Trump commercial about why people vote for Trump

[yt]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UDL3Yjl31K8[/yt]

[Jacob]

Does anyone else here check Gab Trends?

The attached image is its front page tonight.  The bottom half is a headline on Hunter:

"EXCLUSIVE: National security nightmare of Hunter Biden's abandoned laptop containing phone numbers for the Clintons, Secret Service officers and most of the Obama cabinet plus his sex and drug addictions - all secured by the password Hunter02"

[drummerboy]

My prediction is as follows:
1.  IF Trump can keep the elections mostly legit, he wins big.
2.  IF the Dems can pull-off mail-in ballots stuffing, which they are clearly planning, Biden wins.

Odds?  50/50,  since all depends on how well they police the elections, which can't be handicapped.  Look at recent "wins" in California for a model, where many Republicans won the election in 2018, and then most of them losing a few days later after ballots were "discovered" uncounted.

I'll make the prediction Trump  wins Florida and Ohio.  They have Republican governors.

I agree with everything James says here, but especially the #1 and #2 up top.  If massive fraud by the Dems is miraculously prevented, Trump wins bigger than he won in 2016.

But as I have stated elsewhere, Trump is no loser and do not think for a second he will take it sitting down; I believe any attempts at fraud will be seriously challenged by Trump and Barr, hopefully exposing the fake ballot machine of the Democratic party

[Miriam_M]

My prediction is as follows:
1.  IF Trump can keep the elections mostly legit, he wins big.
2.  IF the Dems can pull-off mail-in ballots stuffing, which they are clearly planning, Biden wins.

Odds?  50/50,  since all depends on how well they police the elections, which can't be handicapped.  Look at recent "wins" in California for a model, where many Republicans won the election in 2018, and then most of them losing a few days later after ballots were "discovered" uncounted.

I'll make the prediction Trump  wins Florida and Ohio.  They have Republican governors.

I agree with everything James says here, but especially the #1 and #2 up top.  If massive fraud by the Dems is miraculously prevented, Trump wins bigger than he won in 2016.

But as I have stated elsewhere, Trump is no loser and do not think for a second he will take it sitting down; I believe any attempts at fraud will be seriously challenged by Trump and Barr, hopefully exposing the fake ballot machine of the Democratic party

Well, I never addressed Trump's reaction in the post you quote, but I shall now, since you brought it up.  Just because he would make sure that justifiably suspected occasions of fraud were investigated does not mean that any challenge of his would reach nearly the ugliness and defiance that the Democrats will engage in -- especially if there is not a Trump landslide.  He has already said that he intends to vacate the big house in short order if he loses. 

[james03]

I believe any attempts at fraud will be seriously challenged by Trump and Barr

He did nothing after the obvious vote fraud of 2018 and lost the House, which eventually got him impeached.

[Greg]

My prediction is as follows:
1.  IF Trump can keep the elections mostly legit, he wins big.
2.  IF the Dems can pull-off mail-in ballots stuffing, which they are clearly planning, Biden wins.

If cannot have a prediction with the word IF in it unless you can clearly demonstrate that the IF happened and it is quantifiable.

No election is ever 100% legit.  2016 had ballot stuffing.  All elections have some cheats.

Your "prediction" above amounts to this.  If Biden can cheat enough to win, he will win.  If he cannot, Trump will win.

And that is no kind of prediction at all.

I'll make the prediction Trump  wins Florida and Ohio.  They have Republican governors.

Trump has already won Florida.  He is ahead in early voting in Miami Dade County which Hillary won in 2016 by 30points.

So Florida is his.  I knew this 40 hours ago.

[drummerboy]

My prediction is as follows:
1.  IF Trump can keep the elections mostly legit, he wins big.
2.  IF the Dems can pull-off mail-in ballots stuffing, which they are clearly planning, Biden wins.

Odds?  50/50,  since all depends on how well they police the elections, which can't be handicapped.  Look at recent "wins" in California for a model, where many Republicans won the election in 2018, and then most of them losing a few days later after ballots were "discovered" uncounted.

I'll make the prediction Trump  wins Florida and Ohio.  They have Republican governors.

I agree with everything James says here, but especially the #1 and #2 up top.  If massive fraud by the Dems is miraculously prevented, Trump wins bigger than he won in 2016.

But as I have stated elsewhere, Trump is no loser and do not think for a second he will take it sitting down; I believe any attempts at fraud will be seriously challenged by Trump and Barr, hopefully exposing the fake ballot machine of the Democratic party

Well, I never addressed Trump's reaction in the post you quote, but I shall now, since you brought it up.  Just because he would make sure that justifiably suspected occasions of fraud were investigated does not mean that any challenge of his would reach nearly the ugliness and defiance that the Democrats will engage in -- especially if there is not a Trump landslide.  He has already said that he intends to vacate the big house in short order if he loses.

And he could have been saying that to give the democrats what they wanted to hear; it was a bait question, they hoped Trump would answer no and then accuse him of not respecting elections.   There are already over 1000 cases of fraud being investigated.

[Miriam_M]

My prediction is as follows:
1.  IF Trump can keep the elections mostly legit, he wins big.
2.  IF the Dems can pull-off mail-in ballots stuffing, which they are clearly planning, Biden wins.

Odds?  50/50,  since all depends on how well they police the elections, which can't be handicapped.  Look at recent "wins" in California for a model, where many Republicans won the election in 2018, and then most of them losing a few days later after ballots were "discovered" uncounted.

I'll make the prediction Trump  wins Florida and Ohio.  They have Republican governors.

I agree with everything James says here, but especially the #1 and #2 up top.  If massive fraud by the Dems is miraculously prevented, Trump wins bigger than he won in 2016.

But as I have stated elsewhere, Trump is no loser and do not think for a second he will take it sitting down; I believe any attempts at fraud will be seriously challenged by Trump and Barr, hopefully exposing the fake ballot machine of the Democratic party

Well, I never addressed Trump's reaction in the post you quote, but I shall now, since you brought it up.  Just because he would make sure that justifiably suspected occasions of fraud were investigated does not mean that any challenge of his would reach nearly the ugliness and defiance that the Democrats will engage in -- especially if there is not a Trump landslide.  He has already said that he intends to vacate the big house in short order if he loses.

And he could have been saying that to give the democrats what they wanted to hear; it was a bait question, they hoped Trump would answer no and then accuse him of not respecting elections.   There are already over 1000 cases of fraud being investigated.

Oh yes, I'm quite aware of all of that, but he will also not make a fool of himself.  The Dems, on the other hand, have absolutely no respect for the rule of law nor our institutions.  Their only "law" is their unbridled thirst for unopposed power.

[christulsa]

I see no quantifiable, rational basis that early voting in Florida predicts conclusively Trump wins Florida.

Or that Trump only wins if Biden doesn't cheat enough to win.

Or that voter fraud, especially in swing states, is massive enough to disprove a Biden win, if he wins.

And I don't expect a last second surprise out of the Hunter story.

If Trump wins, it'll be a great victory for God, and one of the best days of my our life.  But he is not a Messiah-like secular king sent to deliver us from captivity into a secular paradise.   4 more years of Trump, as has been said here, just means God giving the faithful a little more time to prepare for Persecution during the age of anti-christ.  My ultimate point is that right now our hope has to rest in Christ the King, and the divine Church, not in a certain Trump re-election.